Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.018657 0.023685 0.030448 0.040566 0.056006 0.080019 0.123432
2024-12-22 0.013145 0.018427 0.026699 0.041740 0.071621 0.138532 0.352152
2024-12-29 0.010386 0.015439 0.024131 0.042144 0.085792 0.221204 1.091678
2025-01-05 0.008395 0.012934 0.021211 0.039916 0.092208 0.305173 3.537661
2025-01-12 0.007150 0.011343 0.019372 0.038937 0.101423 0.441955 27.223082
2025-01-19 0.006536 0.010718 0.019194 0.041809 0.127707 0.865349 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006172 0.010470 0.019707 0.046919 0.174122 2.427085 NaN
2025-02-02 0.005851 0.010229 0.020153 0.052289 0.239493 11.262533 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005355 0.009526 0.019285 0.052769 0.278867 57.616318 NaN
2025-02-16 0.004945 0.008936 0.018549 0.053386 0.326686 6912.055601 NaN
2025-02-23 0.004576 0.008379 0.017765 0.053423 0.374897 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004146 0.007628 0.016299 0.049820 0.368847 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003805 0.007089 0.015459 0.049363 0.424856 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003555 0.006729 0.015063 0.050971 0.545976 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003313 0.006349 0.014513 0.051507 0.673095 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003030 0.005833 0.013440 0.048574 0.688501 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002815 0.005458 0.012726 0.047291 0.763729 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002717 0.005355 0.012842 0.051066 1.175924 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002667 0.005361 0.013317 0.057851 2.354254 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002612 0.005348 0.013731 0.065075 5.580873 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002483 0.005124 0.013343 0.065725 8.625257 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002368 0.004923 0.013001 0.066562 14.664975 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002255 0.004719 0.012601 0.066612 24.958655 NaN NaN